**Met Office Predicts ‘Very Warm’ Conditions for Welsh Summer Holidays, Raising Hopes for Heatwave**
By [Your Name], Wales, 16 July 2025
Holidaymakers and school-leavers in Wales can look forward to some ‘very warm’ weather on the horizon, according to the latest long-range forecasts from the Met Office. The national weather service has suggested that by mid-August, conditions are likely to turn noticeably hotter than usual, bringing a greater chance of beach-friendly days for families across the region.
The Met Office’s projections indicate that between 30 July and 13 August, Wales should expect a continuation of the recent weather patterns, characterised by a mixture of rain showers and spells of sunshine. In the past few weeks, parts of Wales have already experienced temperatures exceeding 33°C—remarkably high for the area and time of year.
In a statement provided to the press, a Met Office spokesperson noted: “The end of July and beginning of August are expected to remain changeable, with intermittent rainfall alongside dry, sunny intervals. However, as we progress towards the middle of August, signs are pointing to a building area of high pressure across much of the country. This should result in more prolonged periods of settled, dry weather.”
Temperatures are forecast to remain above the long-term average through this period, with the likelihood of especially ‘very warm or hot’ spells increasing as August approaches, notably in southern and eastern parts of the UK. While these indications may encourage excitement among summer holiday-goers, officials stress that accurate heatwave predictions become possible only closer to the date.
The UK is currently influenced by a system of high pressure, which tends to keep the weather settled and can raise the risk of heatwave conditions, potentially extending through the mid-August period. Nonetheless, the Met Office highlights the inherent uncertainty of weather forecasting at longer ranges, cautioning that the possibility of a full-fledged heatwave cannot yet be guaranteed.
Statistically, the odds of a hotter than normal summer have doubled in 2025 compared to previous years, according to the Met Office’s summer outlook covering the stretch from June through August. This comes after an extraordinary spring, which saw some of the highest sunshine totals and driest periods on record for much of the country.
The backdrop to these weather patterns is the broader picture of climate change. The Met Office has recently sounded the alarm about the increased frequency of extreme weather events, such as record-breaking heat and rainfall, citing the influence of greenhouse gases. Britain has witnessed a significant uptick in hot days and a corresponding decrease in chilly nights, figures that underline the shift in climate normals over the past decades.
Beyond the thermometer readings, these hotter, drier conditions have already left their mark: four regions in England are officially in drought, with the East and West Midlands joining Yorkshire and the North West on the list. This situation follows weeks of above-average temperatures and scant rainfall in June and July.
Wales, meanwhile, has so far avoided major water shortages, despite a spike in water usage during the latest heatwave. Welsh Water has reassured residents that reservoir levels are stable across most of the country, with the notable exception of Mid and South Ceredigion. Here, a pronounced shortfall in rainfall—just 37% of the usual amount fell between March and May—has led to developing drought conditions. The company indicated it is closely tracking local reservoirs and stands ready to take further action if necessary.
As families look ahead to the August school holidays, the prevailing advice from forecasters is to remain watchful, but optimistic. With higher-than-average temperatures all but assured and a decent likelihood of very warm weather, many across Wales are hoping the summer of 2025 will grant them a taste of Mediterranean sun—albeit with the usual British caveat of unpredictability.